The most important domestic development of 2013 in Azerbaijan certainly was the presidential elections. However, other factors also contributed to the full picture. 2013 began with protest demonstrations in Baku against deaths of soldiers in the army. In 2012 Azerbaijan has lost 97 soldiers, and only 20% of them were LIA. Moreover, some deaths were very suspicious as the corpses lacked few organs. Only some days after these demonstrations, mass disturbance started in the region of Ismayili populated by Lezgins. The local population burned a hotel owned by the head of local authority as a sign of protest against bureaucratic tyranny.
The most outrage development of 2013 was the persecution of 75-year-old writer Akram Aylisli for his novel ‘Stone dreams’ where he inter alia discusses pogroms of Armenians in Baku in 1990. Not only radical masses stigmatized the writer but the President of Azerbaijan also joined the forces by imposing different types of repression. On October 9, Ilham Aliyev was re-elected for the third consecutive time as the president of the country with 85% of votes. OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights, US State Department, European Parliament and other international observers considered the elections as non-democratic. In reality,
those elections were just an occasion for two ruling clans (Nakhijevan clan, headed by Aliyev family, and Pashayev clan headed by the relatives of first lady Mehriban) to re-draw the lines of influence. Is stable Azerbaijan beneficial for its neighbors, NKR and Armenia, in particular? The answer is definitely positive as any tremble beyond the border can bring to undesirable consequences, including military escalation.